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CNBC
Oct 9, 2012 7:00pm EDT
religious affiliations? we begin this evening with this story that is happening right now. the government has continued it's vendetta against big banks. the government accuses the mortgage lender of reckless trifecta issuing at least 100,000 affected loans. this story comes as the cnbc.com story makes headlines. the question is why is the government and the taxpayor still in the housing business? let's go to our guest. diana, good evening. >> well look, confidence in housing is coming back. especially in home prices. some say they think home prices will fall further. optimism has been rising for 11 straight months. you don't have to look farther than record low mortgage rates. some claim it is a government subsidy. there are short sales. it is fast becoming the exit of choice for banks and sellers. they are now moving faster thanks to government mandated streamlining and incentives. hofa has so far paid out $333 million for short sales part of the $10 billion that was set aside for the loan modification program. also pushing short sales so far under that program the banks have forgiven $8
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 8:00pm EDT
enterpriser and president obama is the big government planner. and those are big differences in philosophy in government. two, romney has a tax cut plan. he has a spending cut plan. he has an energy plan. he's got to make it clear. he's got to explain to people the connection between his plans and the economic recovery that we have not yet had. that's a tall order for romney. and he's going to have to fight hard for it while the, of course is attacking him. >> you said earlier i was watching kudlow and company, you said the first impression is important. he's got to swing right away. you think he'll do that? >> that's my hunch. i've seen this before. aggressive. he's got to put this sort of line in the sand. here's what i believe. and here's what he believes. and there's a big choice in this election. he is the guy who wants redistribution. i'm the guy who wants growth. he's the guy who wants government centered economy. i'm the guy for free enterprise. he's got to say that. but it's doubly hard because he's got to put meat on the bones of his tax and spend policy. to this day, people are not
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 6:00am EDT
report from the government. today thursday's weekly jobless claims report. that hits the wires at 8:30. in the meantime, what's been happening in europe is that things have barely bunched there again and they seem to be taking their cues from us.dnched there aganfroms.gnched there agand they seem to be taking their cues from us.ched there again and they seem to be taking their cues from us.hed te again and they seem to be taking their cues from us.ed there again and they seem to be taking their cues from us. dow, nasdaq, s&p all closing slightly higher yesterday. in asia, a long week without chinese trading, but in japan, the nikkei was up by about 77 points. and in bombay, sensex up by 188 points. oil prices actually energy stocks yesterday were lagging as we saw big tumble in crude oil prices. back up by about 6 # ce4 cents, those are levels we haven't seen in quite some tile. ten year note, yielding 1.63%. so that's a slightly higher yield than yesterday. the dollar interesting story, too. you'll see that it is down against the euro. but still 1.2951. so we've been right around 1.29
CNBC
Oct 10, 2012 1:00pm EDT
? >> what rate? >> that's a great question. we bank governments not-for-profits. i know we bank churches. i just don't know the actual numbers. i'd be happy to share with them if you sen me ad me an e-mail. that's what we do, advise people, what's reasonable and not reasonable. a lending business, banks, unlike other institutions, often has to say no. sometimes we say we're not going to do it and it is not good for you, either. like selling someone too much liquor or letting them have that fifth drink at the bar. send me an e-mail. >> taking a slightly broader answer to that question, take a minute, talk about your definition -- here you are this large organization, you have enormous profits. what is your sense of corporate social responsibility? what sort of program -- what does jpmorgan define for itself -- >> i've never had a conflict over this. my job is to build a healthy, vibrant company. and i want -- in every community you operate in, including greece, italy and spain, for to you think we're a good corporate citizen. no different -- i really mean this -- than that corner store. t
CNBC
Oct 9, 2012 2:00pm EDT
client does that at pacific capital. people need to be learned not to be fooled by government's sleight of hand. the >> the problem is that we are reaching record highs, the numbers look good. to brian's point about mom and dad not necessarily opening their 401(k)s but the mom and pops participating in this rally? dave lutz, isn't this one of the sad factors, keep on moving higher? so many people burned during the financial crisis, they are not taking advantage of it? >> mandy, you're absolutely right. ici reported last week even though the stock indices almost doubled since our lows back in '09, investors pulled about $140 billion out of mutual funds and etfs, a couple of stunning facts, all that money seems to be flowing toward fixed income. vanguard reported the first time in history, bond funds bigger than stock funds. if i had dell disclosed last month, the size of their bond and money market assets almost $850 billion. that's more -- [ overlapping speakers ] >> -- about bonds -- >> the market is going to do whoever has the most participants. you are absolutely right. >> peter? >>
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 7:00pm EDT
government he talked about caring for people who are less fortunate. >> not scaring. i got to get out. steve we're going to have you back again. love to have you back. jennifer's going to hang around for awhile for the full show tonight. i want to switch gears. this goes to what we were talk about. will mitt romney's performance last evening be enough to swing voters? my next guest was one of chicago's most influential obama supporters back in 2008. in this election cycle she has switched gears to support mitt romney. susan crown now cochair of illinois for romney. she's a member of the national finance team for the romney campaign. all right, susan, welcome to the show. >> thank you. >> what made you switch to the romney camp? >> several things. i became increasingly disillusioned and disappointed, and actually pretty angry when obama came out with his 67 borders comments about israel. and i just felt that he wasn't up to the job. >> and i notice -- i read the big story that was about you. you're not happy with the deficit plans, you're not happy with the tax plans. but the thing tha
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 7:00pm EDT
government planning. it's the debate of the decade and it happens in just a couple of hours. good evening. i'm larry kudlow. this is a special edition of "the kudlow report." you're looking at a live picture of the university of denver. 8:00 p.m. eastern, president obama and mitt romney will face off in their first of three debates. we have an all star panel tonight. former congressman rick lazio and former clinton white house aide keith boykin. and herman cain tells us what it's like to debate kevin madden. it's all about leadership and leadership means taking control of the conversation. that's just my advice. in an anemic overall economy, we've seen some positives in recent days. the ism services surprised on the up side today, 15 million car sales yesterday and of course stocks have been rising since a year ago today. the s&p is up 32%. so things can't be all that bad. how will the investor class vote in 34 days? but first up, both mitt romney and president obama are in their respective hotel rooms now. they're making final preparations for the big debate and cnbc's own john h
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 7:00pm EDT
actions by the state government? there's some descriptions about school districts, small towns going bankrupt, even detroit. would this prevent any of those emergency actions? >> well, it would make it very challenging. in fact, we have an emergency manager law used, but when it's used it's a major help to prevent bankruptcies and other challenges. that's also on the ballot. this would override that and leave us in a spot where communities might have bankruptcy as an option, and that's a very bad answer. >> governor, let me just ask you, what are the mechanics of this thing? in other words, if they get collective bargaining as a matter of state constitutional rights, does that undo all of your reforms as you call it to the michigan comeback? does that give the unions power even over the state legislature? is it that bad? >> it would in many aspects take us back in time and give a lot of power to unions in terms of the negotiating process and really wipe out a lot of benefits we have. we're the comeback state. we've gone through tough recessions before. we need to keep going. that's w
CNBC
Oct 5, 2012 4:00am EDT
, it will be higher taxes, higher debt, and it will bei be not much else other than more government spending. and that won't make the difference. so i think fiscal uncertainty has to be removed in order for the corporates to spend the huge amount of cash that they're holding. and at this point not investing. the fiscal -- i don't want to call it the fiscal cliff because that's not so important. the question is getting certainty into the situation for corporates to invest again. >> okay, good to have you on on. plenty more to come from you. but what do you think the jobs number will be? let us know. e-mail or tweet us. so just over an hour into the trading day here in europe. let's show you where we stand. just weighted to the up side. pretty flat day for european stocks. 6:4 advancers currently outpacing decliners. we are a quarter percent higher on the ibex, as well. let's show you where we stand. yields are still below 6%. 5.8% mar begin alley higher. we'll keep our eyes on u.s. yields. we got down to 1.66 is where we stand at the moment on those u.s. ten years, as well. as far as
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 4:00am EDT
services sector. >>> and more signs of trouble for the spanish government as the latest figures show its corporate tax revenue has tumbled. mariano rajoy issues the latest denial that he's ready for a bailout. >>> we now have the latest numbers crossing for the eurozone services pmi. the september final services read coming in at 46.1. an improvement that we have seen from the 46 number. this is still the lowest level we're seeing since 2009. the forward indication 49.4. in terms of what we're seeing on the final comp sit pmi, this is above the 45.9 read that we have, but just a fraction below what we saw in august, the rate was 46.3 then. this is the lowest read since may 2009. in terms of new business number for the composite september rate, 43.8. we're still right back at some of these 2009 lows. >>> elsewhere, the numbers are not that much better. lisa has more on these numbers out of china. >> official data showed china services sector fell sharply in september to its lowest level in almost two years. it shows the rest of the economy has started to feel the effect from the slugg
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 9:00am EDT
close to that. i think the numbers are not actually accurate that the government projects there. but the last four months was remarkable because usually equities and growth, you know, merge together. sometimes equities anticipates it. sometimes it lags. but growth numbers keep falling. and yet the equity market keeps rising. i think the s&p is now -- should be thought of as a different sort of class of instrument used by investors around the world. i think now that the yield of the ten-year or of corporate credit, i think it hasn't been this tight since the '50s. and i think therefore if you look at it on a yield basis and if you believe that multinationals, leading multinational companies will have enough growth to have growth, and i think that's actually true, because global growth, from a consumer standpoint and spending is going to be positive, then in a way these equities are mispriced relative to, you know, the ten-year. >> so you're talking about the idea which we've seen in force, buying these larger stocks that have significant dividend yields, you think that's creating a ne
CNBC
Oct 5, 2012 3:00pm EDT
incredible detail on this report. some say, hey, wait a minute, how could you have government jobs doing what they're doing? isn't it peculiar they're doing that now? we look at every element. whatever number you can pick, you can attach some conspiracy theory. i do not think, as i said earlier, that it stands the test of time. if you look over time, you go debt these inconsistencies. >> what i was a real estate reporter 20 years ago, there were people who thought we were manipulating the housing numbers back then. that was in the first bush administration. let me talk about the fiscal cliff a little bit. what's the deal going to look like? is there going to be a deal? describe what you think might happen here. >> so we put a 60 to 70% probable that there is a deal after the election, probably in the lame duck session or shortly thereafter. we think -- and there's a great piece on pimco.com by my colleagues that details that. we think that will amount to about a 1 to 1.5% contraction in fiscal terms as opposed to the 4% contraction that we would get in fiscal terms from the fiscal cliff.
CNBC
Oct 10, 2012 2:00pm EDT
? >> they're both very important. obviously the structure of american government requires that the same party be in charge of everything if the system's going to work and the odds are the same party is not going to be in charge of everything after november. >> in terms of where we stand on the fiscal cliff, ben, whoever gets in, do you think that the outcome of the election is actually going to take away these so-called uncertainty that's hanging over us of the fiscal cliff or are we still going to be dangling in the air? >> we'll be dangling in the air. we're not going to get a sweeping referendum one way or the other no matters who wins the white house. you'll likely still have divided government. the theory is that basically if romney wins you are more likely to get a punt on the fiscal cliff because republicans could be in control of each house if they win the senate. generally speaking, the senate democrats the thought is will not be as intransigent if romney gets in. not sure i buy that. i think the odds are similar under ooet president for a punt on the fiscal cliff. i think if obama w
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 1:00pm EDT
effectively guaranteed by the federal government. this is the biggest kiss that's been given to new york banks i've ever seen. >> i talked to one banking lobbyist here in town today. his reaction, he said folks were puzzled by that. even romney is beating up on the banks. one thing that unites democrats and republicans is beating up on the big banks. so, sue, here in washington, lobbyists for the banking industry watching that slightly askance. but i think there is a sense that a lot of this is political and doesn't necessarily imply how romney would necessarily govern as president of the united states. >> indeed. i think you are absolutely right. thank you. >>> so our poll question today -- do you think last night's debate will change the outcome of the campaign? vote by going to cnbc.com. the results are coming up a little later in "power lunch." >>> next though, seema mody joins us with a market flash. >> hi, sue. we're calling it the romney effect. sectors moving on the back of what mitt romney said in last night's debate. we spoke about coal stocks. utilities -- wells fargo wri
CNBC
Oct 5, 2012 4:00pm EDT
tepid number. you had strong growth partly driven by the government, where the labor markets were quite tepid. >> what else are we going to see, rick santelli? what's going to happen in the next week or so? a lot of people arguing the earnings situation, we're going to have negative growth in the third quarter. what do you see happening in october? >> well, i don't disagree with that. i think the next week in my own backyard, we have threes, tens, and 30s. columbus day, the bond market is closed. the biggest issue for this quarter we're in is how much europe gives us a head wind. i'm talking more about what we've been discussing for the last several days. that is europe is systemically important. capital relationships, banking balance sheets, subordinate relationships. i think all of that as they hiccup and the relationship between germany and exports in china is all going to give us a head wind. canada created 54,000 jobs today and they have one-tenth the size population. >> wow. doug, weigh in on the jobs numbers and what it means when it comes to investing in this market. >> the answ
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 4:00pm EDT
and what the real role is of the chinese government in terms of potential control of this company. >> no, those are also fair points. there is no role of the chinese government in the company. the committee knows full and very well that when they visited our facilities, that they actually had access to the entire list of all 65,000 of our employee shareholders. look, this industry -- the committee is focused on cyber security concerns. those are very legitimate concerns. but, the fact of the matter is, it's a global industry. hauwei, cisco, eriksson, nokia se seimens operating on a common stage with overlapping -- there are cyber concerns but they are universal. anything short of universal solutions is nothing but political gamesmanship. >> i've done a lot of reporting on it. it goes back to the chinese, broadly speaking, to spy, usually using the internet on u.s. corporations and to steal their secrets wherever they may be and whatever way the chinese can. many say about hauwei, in fact, it came from virtually nothing as a result of today because of stolen intellectual property.
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 2:00pm EDT
the chinese government, you're saying, okay, america, forget you, we're going to dump some of your debt. see how i like higher interest rates. let's not buy a buick or gm product and forget about going to taco bell or kfc for yum brands. >> brian, i don't think the debt is the issue but i think it is quite possible that if china feels like they're getting a raw deal here, that either implicitly or quietly, they may feel like they want to punish us economically in some way and an obvious way is to try to source products from places other than america. this wouldn't be surprising at all. >> could you imagine if the chinese goft says cisco system, our version of huawei, essentially, was a security threat to them in china? >> exactly. so the china/japan little ruckus that's going on right now is perhaps instructive. both sides have got claims that the other side disputes, and what's happened is you've got a lot of chinese tourists going to japan that have canceled their trips and a lot of back-and-forth. we don't know where it is going to end up but it is the kind of thing that can get
CNBC
Oct 5, 2012 2:00pm EDT
fiscal year for the federal government still above $1 trillion. in fact, it came in at $1.1 trillion. there was some hope that maybe we could inch that under a trillion. really just make the financial picture of america pristine. with just $999 billion. that didn't happen. we're still over $1 trillion. i think that's 12 zeros. >> it was $1.3 trillion for the 2011 fiscal year. >>> the stock is now down year to date down about 23% over the last six months. dramatically underperform being the nasdaq. >> it has to be frustrating for the company and investors because so many tech names have done well. f5 down 3.75% today. barclays cutting the price target. ubs removed the company from its alpha preferences list yesterday. if you're an investor in f5, they're holding an analyst meeting next thursday. pay attention to that. >>> beer stocks have been hot apparently. are the companies that make the big bottles, for example, owens, illinois. >> it is one of those companies, it is all google and apple and facebook and zynga. this is one of those companies that makes glass bottles. >> stock's up
CNBC
Oct 5, 2012 1:00pm EDT
sent a memo last week saying the government could cover the cost that companies would face if they run into legal troubles for not properly warning those workers. here's the federal law and what it says. it says that companies with 100 or more workers must provide 60 days notice before mass layoffs or plant closings, or those workers can get up to 60 days of back pay if they are not notified. the republicans are crying foul and eamon javers picks under the story. >> reporter: here's what the omb said in late september -- it is neither necessary or appropriate for federal contractors to provide warn act notice to employees 60 days in advance of the potential sequestration because of the uncertainty about whether sequestration will occur. i've toualked to employees at t white house and omb about this question. their idea is this -- first of all, there's uncertainty about the fiscal cliff itself, whether it is actually going to happen or not. they say that the warn act is only required for those planning specific cutbacks and specific plant closings and they say since the employers in thi
CNBC
Oct 10, 2012 3:00pm EDT
to suffer potentially from higher taxes and indeed reduced government spending. >> rick santelli, you heard that whole list of reasons. is that why we saw this ten-year auction today? people gobbling up ten-year government debt at these extremely low yields because they think they're not going to get much better elsewhere? sounds like people don't think there's a lot of growth coming. >> i think there's a little bit of truth in all of it. i'll bring up another point. i think october, a lot of mutual funds ahave the end of their fiscal year. it's been a good run for stocks. the spread between what the stock market is telling us and the economy is pretty wide. the election, depending how it turns out, could have a lot of implications. to me, it makes perfect sense the closer we get to the end of the year, the closer we get to november, people are going to be lightening up. it all makes sense. >> yeah, and mandy, you were highlighting earlier oil is lower, gold is lower. a lot of the base materials have been suffering as well today. >> yeah, that's absolutely true. you know, i think
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 2:00pm EDT
about the economic crisis in iran. she says the iranian government is to blame for the currency crash in that country. she is likely referring to the government's nuclear weapons program that has brought on harsh international sanctions. as mandy and michelle talked about, the iranian currency has absolutely collapsed and the situation getting more desperate in tehran. >>> well, here we are less than seven hours away from president obama and mitt romney squaring off in the first of three presidential debates. there's been a lot of talk that the market is already pricing in an obama re-election. in fact, in trade showing betters placing a 70% chance on an obama re-election. but some new polls suggest romney is closing the gap. so what happens to the markets and your money if mitt romney pulls ahead or wins? joining us, art, is a romney win bad for stocks? art, we're going to get your mike running. is a romney win bad for stocks? >> i think a romney win is great for stocks. at least the psychology will be two things. first, first cal conservati first, fiscal conservative coming in 2013
CNBC
Oct 9, 2012 1:00pm EDT
. >> about the ecb gives back the cash, the german government pay backed ecb. >> will be law andered? >> it will be laundered money, exactly. >> simon, what do you think? >> or extend the maturities that is the other possibilities. >> i have heard that this -- they begged for that absolutely right, keep asking and the ecb keeps saying no. >> most people think in the end, the way it is going to happen is through the laundered system through the back door, through the central banks. >> what about spain, michelle some people were posing the question that the greece certain lives the story of the day today with the protests, with ms. merkel going to greece, but spain really is what we need to be focused more on. do you agree with that? >> much bigger, much bigger in size. greece, in the end, is the bigger pictures that we see on television, but when it comes to the actual amount of money, the european union could actually handle that cost. spain is much, much bigger. >> thank you, michelle. simon, over to you. >> also watching, as you will be aware, sue, apple, very closely today. shares offici
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 5:00pm EDT
government and debt pan ets or whatever you want to call it. so, that is the frame against which you should think about your investment decisions. nn in my space you should be over managed care. that is the quarterback i talked about. i would be under with medical e devi devices. the paying patients coming in from obamacare would be fewer. >> is there anywhere that you think isn't priced for edger romney or obama victory? like say the records company? are those already priced to perfection regardless of who wins? health it, the stimless package in 09 funded up held ith it. we have seen strong performers. that should continue to do fine. pharmaceuticals are less to the elections. they are not completely free of exposure but it is less than on the hospital side. >> wouldn't a romney victory eliminate the exercise tax? wouldn't that be good for medical devices? going forward, however, in this $500 billion plus spend in the medicare program, $400 billion plus in medicaid, it is going to come out of devices to a large extent. >> it was a great story to this spring, fantastic stock taken o
CNBC
Oct 9, 2012 9:00am EDT
governments need to act to fix the economies. if we don't get the improvement there, we are in trouble. let me move on to talk about owens-corning, i have been covering this 20 years. i'm the son of a home builder and we bought a lot of fiberglass insulation from owens-corning over the years. it's a tricky company to cover because it is only partly tied to new home sales. they have this fabulous fiberglass insulation division that everybody sees when new houses go up in between the beams they put up. that's a big part of their business tied to new home sales but the other parts aren't tied to new home sales. so the roofing division, for example, yes, they can put new homes with roofs on them, but the big money there is replacement roofing. and in replacement roofing they have a fabulous 2011 because there were a lot of storms around the country. so business shot right up. so the margins or rather the comparisons to a 2011 don't look that good because the storms haven't been that great. they have another problem, they raised the prices with a lot of resistance. jim, you mentione
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 5:00pm EDT
governments fall. >> and brian, you were weighing in saying it is not just what is going on in iran but layer in the tensions between syria and turkey and that puts another level into the mix. >> the reason why this is important to a u.s. investor is because it has to do with oil. it is clear that the u.s. and saudi arabia have this plan of pumping as much oil as they can and it is starting to watch. now you have to think what happens if there is a regime change. so as a u.s. investor that is great for the u.s. economy. that is great for u.s. stocks. what has to happen in the u.s. market is oil has always been this traditional leading indicator in the economy. if oil is up that means there is lots of demand and that is great. >> let's look at the oil picture. we did see oil breaking below $88. how could a regime change in iran impact oil? joining us is the king of commodities himself. you can take a look at wti. it doesn't seem like it is reflecting the tensions or would we be even lower if we didn't have them? >> i think that what we're seeing and michelle was explaining it quite w
CNBC
Oct 5, 2012 11:00pm EDT
best tourism seasons in years. we've shared what we've learned with governments and across the industry so we can all produce energy more safely. i want you to know, there's another commitment bp takes just as seriously: our commitment to america. bp supports nearly two-hundred-fifty thousand jobs in communities across the country. we hired three thousand people just last year. bp invests more in america than in any other country. in fact, over the last five years, no other energy company has invested more in the us than bp. we're working to fuel america for generations to come. today, our commitment to the gulf, and to america, has never been stronger. >>> it is time. it is time for the lightning round! we play until we hear this sound, and then the lightning round is over! are you ready, skedaddy? let's start with rob in new york. >> caller: how you doing, jim. my question about skechers? >> sell, sell, sell. it's sink'ing like a stone. i don't want skechers or deckers. >> ken in california, what's up? >> caller: thank you for your help and guidance. love your show. jim, abbo
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 1:00pm EDT
stearns, the federal government for the $10 a shake jpmorgan got not only bear stearns' assets but liabilities, including, authorities say responsibility four some of the most egregious conduct in the financial crisis you churning out residential mortgages by the thousands, bundling them into what the firm told investors were quality securities, knowing all along many of the mortgages were duds a systemic fraud on thousands of investors, the lawsuit says, deceiving them about the fundamentally defective character of the mortgages and went housing bubble burst, those investors are suffered monumental loss, jpmorgan plans to contest the suit and disappointed with the ag for bringing the case and says it is the first product of a presidential working group on american securities fraud formed in january. today in washington, officials signal it had won't be the last case. sue? >> scott, stay with me. we are going to talk about this joining us first on cnbc to discuss the lawsuit is new york attorney general eric schneiderman. welcome, sir, pleasure to have you back with us on "power lu
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 11:00pm EDT
of congress. in celebration of over 75 years of our government employees insurance company, or geico...as most of you know it. ...i propose savings for everyone! i'm talking hundreds here... and furthermore.. newcaster: breaking news. the gecko is demanding free pudding. and political parties that are actual parties! with cake! and presents! ah, that was good. too bad nobody could hear me. geico. fifteen minutes could save you fifteen percent or more on car insurance. >>> the panic in apple is thick. everyone has decided it's finished, right, it's going down, down, down. every day it's going down. all i heard today is today it broke the 50-day moving average. as if somehow the company that steve jobs created is entirely independent in the end on a chart. how about this? if you don't own any, if you luck into some, you know my view about apple. it's an investment, not a trade. pe
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 4:00pm EDT
caused a relief rally in europe. if we see our government doing the same thing, having a very comprehensive response to the fiscal cliff, something like simpson-bowles, 4-plus, $5 trillion over a period of time, you'll see a huge rally. on the other hand, if we see this dragging out, if they have to have it delayed, it doesn't happen after the lame duck session, after the election, it drags on to february, drags on to march. we will have a recession in the first quarter. we'll have negative gdp in the first quarter. despite my bullishness out a year, we could have some real volatility. i would suggest if we have that real volatility, it's a great buying opportunity for everybody out there. but in my conversation with many of the men and women in washington, i'm trying to be as large of an alarmist as i can to make sure we focus on the fiscal cliff and we have a resolution as fast as possible. >> absolutely. and europe, have we seen the worst there? >> europe is a seven-year fix. we have a great plan that the ecb has created, but we also need politicians to agree on it. >> simi
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 2:00pm EDT
talked about is exponentially more than the amount of revenue that would come to the government if they passed this so-called buffett rule. this dominate all of our political dialogue. this is more expensive. don't talk about it. >> a lot of people have been missing point in terms of what's really important. >> they talk about getting on top of it but we keep seeing this again and again. it is so hard to get -- make even a dent in all of this because there's so much money involved like $800 billion in health care entitlements. you figure 10% of it is fraud. all you can do is do these sort of piecemeal arrests and raids. they're getting better at it but it is a huge, huge problem. >> scott, thank you. >>> breaking news in the sports world right now. hockey fans, you're not going to be happy about this one. the nhl has cancel all regular season games through october 24th. because of that continued lockout. it could push back farther. but all hockey games canceled through october 24th. millionaires finding billionaires, mandy, while 46 million are on food stamps and the men and women
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 12:00pm EDT
system and president obama seems to want to have more government and more taxes and we even seen how that's worked for the last four years and the results have not been pretty. >> in fairness, don't you think the governor needs to arti s tse his plan rather than just submit a wish list? >> again, i don't want to generalize. i think he made it really clear, it's certainly in place, but that's a very small number. he focused also on the tremendous spending orgies the obama administration has been embarked upon from the almost $900 billion industry and sill ly solyndra. not supporting the keystone pipeline. i think romney knows what it takes. >> the previous administration wasn't pinching pennies either. i know you no that. good to have you on the show. when "halftime report" returns, what a romney win would mean for the dollar. we'll be right back. [ male announcer ] the 2013 smart comes with 8 airbags, a crash management system and the world's only tridion safety cell which can withstand over three and a half tons. small in size. big on safety. which can withstand over three and a hal
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 4:00am EDT
, it is too late. bank of england government job should have been in half an hour ago. so if you didn't make it, you're not going. jim o'neill wasn't applying, scott mcdonald wasn't applying either. i didn't get mine in. so never mind. stick here. also coming up, we'll be heading to new delhi to hear how undoing regulatory requirements could boost investments. details from one of the author of the quarterly cfo survey. and also president chavez is fig celebrating a hard-fought victory. if you have any thoughts, comments, whatever you like, e-mail us worldwide@cnbc.com or tweet @cnbcwex or @rosswestgate. first we'll turn our attention to china. analysts say there is hope the mainland services sector can help offset weakness in the manufacturing side. hsbc also says early easing measures and stronger consumption demand may have helped world bank is warning it needs to brace for slow growth. it's their slowest pace since 2001. it's because of the exposure to china which also had its outlook cut. joining uses for more, norman chan. norm, good to see you. the world bank downgrade just
CNBC
Oct 9, 2012 4:00am EDT
delegation is staying. why is she coming now, why didn't she visit the two previous governments? because she knows hostility towards her is extremely high. remember for the better part of the last three or four year, she was seen as a scapegoat for the tough austerity measures that have been implemented here and that has led to the deep, deep recession in this country. well, she wants to send a message of support and solidarity about the reform efforts that have already been taken. but privately she'll be pressuring to say you have to continue with the reform efforts and we're not coming with any gifts. we'll make no further concessions. that will be her tough message as she comes here today. back over to you. >> what's interesting is that maybe the timing of this visit there seems to be imf saying we need to have a maybe pretty big did you tell forgiveness. how hard will that be for the germans and fins and dutch? >> i think politically impossible. i think they're warm up to the notion in a they need to give greece more time. but that means money. that money has to come from somewhere.
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 7:00pm EDT
keep doing that. the president supports the position on the creation of jobs and the government can't do everything but it has a responsibility. we have lost public sector jobs and we have laid off a lot of cops, firefighters and teachers. that is not the way to get the economy humming again. >> governor gilmorgilmore. aka governor romney, what is your solution? >> the economy is another serious problem. that is another way of talking about the plight of real people out there. after four years of stewardship, i can say that we are not moving in the right direction. we are picking up 100,000 jobs a month. you have to have 180,000 just to keep pace. we are not in a recovery. growth is under 2% while it has been 2.2. that is why we are sitting around after all these years. we have a specific plan. that plan are tax incentives in order to build up this economy and great growth. you can't do anything in this country until you get growth going again. until there are plans in place. talking about a tax reduction so that they can spend more money. so that they are xare competiti with over sea
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 4:00am EDT
crucial services sector grows at its fastest rate in seven months, while the government gets set to take another swing at boosting it through foreign investments. thanks very much for joining me. anyone that's missing ross, he'll be back in tomorrow. but for now, you're all mine. . plenty to come on the next couple hours of the show. lots of guests to help us figure out what's going on. we'll get a view from sydney about cautious shoppers. borrowing costs are expected to fall. we'll bring you those results from madrid. and we'll head out to malaysia for an exclusive interview with the country's prime minister. >>> it's very presidential music to bringis to this topic, which is really dominating the headlines today. president obama and republican rival mitt romney met face to face last night in denver, colorado for their first u.s. presidential debate. it really focused mostly on the economy. with a mnt to onth to go before election, both men had to prove to voters that they're the right man for the country. john harwood got a firsthand view of the debate and filed this report from d
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 1:00pm EDT
the relationship between this corporation is and the chinese government. it's been a key question. but for all of the questioning, a lot of it is conjecture. this aren't that many hard facts here, something i did ask chairman rogers about earlier today. >> we've had information from former and current huawei employees. we have both classified information. our foreign partners, australians and the british and others have passed along information they've seen whether it comes to huawei's activities which i think is a very clear indication i have no problem saying i would not use huawei equipment. i'd find other vendors. if you care about your consumer's data and the national security of the united states you need to look elsewhere. >> of course if you do believe, as i do, given my reporting on it, that the chinese are incredibly aggressive when it comes to cyber espionage, sue, and then you believe much wlaf of what is in this report, you certainly come to the conclusion if there is a telecommunications company that's becoming somewhat dominant around the globe that has the backing
CNBC
Oct 9, 2012 9:00pm EDT
give mr. obama more proposals, such as reducing government regulations and spending more to retrain workers. if the republicans say the government shouldn't spend, how the heck are we going to get ourselves out of this? >> no, no, this notion that the government has no role has never been true in the history of the united states. you know, really, all of the commercial aviation industry has grown out of defense spending. all of the health care innovation has grown out of the n.i.h. >> in his ten years as ceo, immelt has remade g.e., selling off half the company he inherited, including plastics, insurance, and nbc. >> oh, my god. >> they're selling nbc to a company called kabletown... with a "k." >> at the same time, he has refocused the company on manufacturing, bulking up units like transportation, energy, and research and development. as jobs czar, he's urging his fellow ceos to double their hiring of engineers and devote more money to r&d. at g.e., he's triple-spending on everything from medical research to green technology, including the building of a solar panel factory in the
CNBC
Oct 5, 2012 6:00am EDT
know of course the ecb is very much in the comments saying it's down to the governments. they have to fulfill their requirements. so here we are at the best levels of the day, as well, and indeed euro-dollar is up above 1.50. and spanish bond yields, still just below 6%. italian yields fairly contained, as well. so it's all about the employment report today which leaves -- somebody has mysteriously left what looks like a martini glass. i'll come back into the light. shaken, not stirred. >> man, does he look the part. >> yes, you do. i wonder who could be messing with your lights. thrush? no, not spectrum, spec ter mayb. it was mostly just the russian, right? >> and i remember the later ones more. >> i see oo 7 at the u.s. open tennis all the time. that's where sean connery hangs out.7 at the u.s. open tennis all the time. that's where sean connery hangs out. looks like we're going down a drain. the show has been going down the drain. that's a good pose there. shaken not stirred. thank you, ross. we'll see you later. have a great weekend. if you have satellite tv, could you probably
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 4:00pm EDT
transition? you're buying in the consumer space. >> yes, and you have the transition of the government. one of the other big messages we picked up over there, particularly in i understondia, emerging market central banks, they're very concerned about what the traditional bank of england, fed, ecb are doing with monetary policy. the fed is now at the extreme. we've tied our monetary policy to unemployment rates. the concern is that's going to bleed into inflation in their markets. you have half the world, the developed market, saying reflation, reflation, reflation. at the same time, the eu markets want to grow, but they don't want that inflation. so they're at odds. that's why you hear brazil's government telling you there's somewhat of a currency war going on. so, look, there's always something. going on. i mean, it's been a very volatile year. the market is up 33% over the last 12 months. there's been plenty to do. our view is this volatility is creating opportunity. you've got to be global. you've got to be across multiple assets. you have to be coordinated in terms of your approach
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 6:00am EDT
. there's the participation rate has been coming down, part-time workers, a lot of government jobs added. but for some reason, i've always been told you need 200 to 250 to make a dent. 114 got a 300 basis point drop? it's crazy. and there's a reason -- you know what they're calling people that are saying this. they're calling help truthers. throwing them in with the birthers. >> i don't believe that there was conspiracy to make the jobs number -- >> i know that. and anyone that says that will be called a truther. so you don't say the government's lying. you can't say that. yet if you add in two months more government workers than at any it time since 1948 for the past two months, the government can do -- >> but that goes to his point the u-6 number is -- i don't know if it's more accurate. >> it's broader and takes in to account the part-time workers that don't want to be part-time. they want the full-time job. so it's a broader measure of giving us the breadth of the labor market and the health of it and that's why when i say the unchanged number, i sort of ignored the headline nu
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 12:00pm EDT
yet the s&p stocks are going to have earnings growth. nothing extra the government can do other than pay the bond issuer can do other than pay the agreed upon coupon and most bonds are in good shape credit wise. so stocks have earnings growth, which i suspect will be something like 5% over the next decade. some years away head of that, some years down, some years behind that. so that should be a 7% real return, fundamental return on stocks not counting any change in the market's evaluations, pe multiples and so on. so 7.5% likely will be better than 2.5%. that's where the odds come from. i would say 85%, maybe even higher that stocks will do better. >> where does the election factor into all this? we had some strategist on the streets who have raised their own targets based on the fact mr. romney could win the election, if that happens it would be more bullish for the stock market at least in their minds. does the election really matter? >> well, it matters greatly to the united states of america. the issue you're saying does the election north the stock market and in my lone ex
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 9:00am EDT
is inaction on the part of the government in terms of huge programs where it be stimulus or not. many expect you may not get something substantive still march. there's also a great deal concern about the financial system. you hear it a lot. we all talk about the lack of validity of many of the statistic that is we still rely on. but within the financial system itself, where the debt really is, a number of metrics that are followed and thought to be worthy of following are not looking great. there's continued concerned. >> we're running smack into -- our companies have to tell the truth. but there's a huge cohort of companies in our company that don't need a whole lot of growth. so we're funneling into winners and leaving aside cyclicals as losers. >> world bank goes from 8.2 to 7.7. if you think 5 to 6 is the real number, should we be bracing for more -- >> yeah. look, these guys want to do everything incremental but the data's bad. i saw someone recommending gm today on strength of china sales. everyone wants to get ahead of the turn. but now we're smack in front of earnings wh
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 12:00am EDT
is now conducted in secret with no public scrutiny or government oversight. over time, the big wall street banks were allowed to buy and sell as many oil contracts as they wanted for their clients, circumventing regulations intended to limit speculation. and in 2000, congress effectively deregulated the futures market, granting exemptions for complicated derivative investments called oil swaps as well as electronic trading on private exchanges. who was responsible for deregulating the oil future market? >> you'd have to say enron. this was something they desperately wanted and they got. >> michael greenberger, who wanted more regulation while he was at the commodity futures trading commission, not less, says it all happened when enron was the seventh largest corporation in the united states. >> this was when enron was riding high, and what enron wanted, enron got. >> why did they want a deregulated market in oil futures? >> because they wanted to establish their own little energy futures exchange through computerized trading. >> she's gonna pay me a penny and a half. >> they knew th
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 6:00am EDT
federal government. jp is cooperating with the government group and if this lawsuit works it may have some power and fuel. >> can i ask a cynical question? i looked through the lawsuit and looks like so much of the plaintiff lawsuits. >> sure does. >> plaintiff attorneys brought the exact same civil case. >> right. >> why do we think this is going to be a new model for anything? >> they say it's a model for the feds and the state attorneys general to work together. new york has this martin act that other attorneys generally in new york have used quite a bit in the past. >> to the extent that they bring more cases like this, civil cases, do you think this does anything to feed the public's lust for whatever you think, whatever you think president obama was trying to go for a year ago when he created this group in. >> if the public is lusting for ceos being perp walked over the financial crieses they're not going to get it with this and may not ever because they haven't been able to build the criminal cases, they're tough to make, if there was criminal conduct you have to get the lower
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 3:00pm EDT
flow across the world and dealing with a government that withholds information. how do you balance that? of course, i'm talking about the chinese. >> well, that was actually, you know, there were a lot of issues around that. not only with alibaba but also with all of the users in china. to make sure that we were doing the right thing for everyone relative to freedom of information, so that's not going to go away any time soon. it's just going to have many chapters. we're probably only in chapter three. >> what a tremendous fall. i mean, shareholders obviously, yourself included, have watched the company lose a tremendous amount of market value. you think yahoo! can get it back? >> i think they can. think still have almost 800 million users. everybody likes to down play that. it's the third biggest group of users on the web. you know what's interesting is as i go around, if i get, you know, 30 miles outside of silicon valley, people love yaho yahoo!. they're always telling me about yahoo! mail and how they get their information. so i don't think they're nearly as cynical or abused a
CNBC
Oct 10, 2012 6:00pm EDT
averages would be nothing happens with individual companies or with governments and central banks. that's the so-called micro, the companies, and the macro, which are the governments. so we've got a flat line here, okay? that's how every day starts. of course, something does happen every day, which is why we are almost never flat, typically on days where central government or banks squawk newsom sort of data. so let's just presume we're never going to be in zero. then we get to earnings season and the equation changes dramatically. we get really granular. we extrapolate the heck out of each and every earnings report. so consider the box score from one 24-hour sports cycle, using the parlance of football. why not? it's football season. it will be easy for everybody. here is the first place. first we get earnings last night from yum! brands, parents of taco bell and pizza hut, and it is dynamite. restaurants all over the world, and why not, they have two million restaurants per million in the merging versus 58 per million here in america. china didn't slow as much as we thought. and taco be
CNBC
Oct 5, 2012 9:00am EDT
and also in local government, education, and more importantly in health care and those are areas that i know something about, i've been traveling around the country and we're seeing more investments in manufacturing and high-skilled labor areas and that's where you need to play the focus and we need congress to cooperate with us to make sure we can go. >> we can go through all of the talking points we do every month, madam secretary. congress needs to do more and i want to read you one tweet for jack welch who used to run general electric and a man who knows a bit about economic data is created and this is his tweet this morning, madam secretary. unbelievable jobs numbers. the chicago guys will do anything, can't debate, so change numbers. what do you say to him? >> i would say that i have the highest regard for our professionals that do the calculations in the bls. they are highly skilled economists trained in this area, and you have to look at two surveys that have been done. the payroll as well as household survey. you see where those two bits of information tell us that there
CNBC
Oct 7, 2012 7:30pm EDT
shared what we've learned with governments and across the industry so we can all produce energy more safely. i want you to know, there's another commitment bp takes just as seriously: our commitment to america. bp supports nearly two-hundred-fifty thousand jobs in communities across the country. we hired three thousand people just last year. bp invests more in america than in any other country. in fact, over the last five years, no other energy company has invested more in the us than bp. we're working to fuel america for generations to come. today, our commitment to the gulf, and to america, has never been stronger. >>> you can find more about the show on our website, wsjr.cnbc.com. now a look at the stories coming up to impact your money this week. monday is the columbus day holiday. banks and bond markets will be closed while the stock market is open. earnings season kicks off. companies reporting third quarter results include costco and jpmorgan chase. >>> thursday the latest reading on the u.s. balance of trade. the vice presidential candidates take the stage for their one debat
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 6:00pm EDT
and losers, you pick the losers. >> tesla on the kindness of the government. that kindness will be over if the white house gets a new occupant. i suggest buying tesla in november. 25s look juicy. both candidates had a lot to say about oil. here's obama. >> the oil industry gets $4 billion a year in corporate welfare. now does anybody think that exxonmobil needs some extra money when they're making money every time you go to the pump? >> you that i exxon would have gotten hit today, right? it rallied 52 cents. some can argue that is because the market senses a romney victory. no way. exxon is just bigger than any president. >> your administration cut the number of permits and licenses in half. if i'm president, i'll double them. >> we aren't going to make money buying federal lands. but if more were opened, it would be a bonanza for the oil service industry. don't outthink this, people. schlumberger and national oil will get the most number of profits from expanded federal land drilling. obama is never a fan of the banks. you don't want to overweight the group on his re-election. li
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